As you see, the champeen is Kathleen Dunbar. With all that, you'd think she would have at least tried to sue me.
I have looked back and thought of all the fun local political characters that are long gone so I missed writing about them. People like Evan Mecham, Paul Marsh, Alan Lang and Rosalie Lopez passed from the scene before I started blogging. I guess I should thank Dunbar for providing me with decent material. I'm glad she's out of office though.|W|P|113605347884303977|W|P|More Year in Review|W|P|prezelski@aol.com
We beseech thee, Master, to be our helper and protector. Save the afflicted among us; have mercy on the lowly; raise up the fallen; appear to the needy; heal the ungodly; restore the wanderers of thy people; feed the hungry; ransom our prisoners; raise up the sick; comfort the faint-hearted. St. Clement of RomeMonsignor Edward Ryle died last night after a month long hospital stay. He was called the "conscience of the legislature." Shortly after my brother was appointed to the state house, Ryle noticed that he had an image of St. Jude on his desk. For some rather strange historical reasons, St. Jude is the patron of hopeless causes. Ryle turned to my brother and said, "At least you know what you are up against." I worked with Ryle once. Many years ago, I travelled to Phoenix with a group called the Catholic Legislative Network. I barely remember what particular bill we were lobbying on, but I remember Ryle to be extremely friendly and engaged with the issues. Ryle subscribed to a political vision that some in the Catholic social justice movement subscribe to called the "Seamless Garment." This is also sometimes called the "Culture of Life," a phrase that unfortunately too many of us Catholics have allowed the right to co-opt. Yes, Ryle was against abortion, but he was also against the death penalty and wanted society's priorities rearanged in favor of the downtrodden and forgotten. It is a Christian vision that is a far cry from people who seem to parse scripture to look for excuses to hate people that they aren't inclined to like in the first place. See, there I go again: being all bitter the way Monsignor Ryle never was.|W|P|113589278946990782|W|P|Monsignor Edward Ryle|W|P|prezelski@aol.com
Today's Tucson Weekly has an article on Chris Simcox, leader of the so-called "Minuteman" militia movement. It is worth a read, and if you have time, it is also worth reading the longer report on Simcox's past that has been published by the Southern Poverty Law Center.
The report raises a number of questions about Simcox's credibility. Maybe now, other media outlets will start looking at these guys with something other than abject, fawning, worship. The last two years of coverage of the border has been marked by the most bizarre claims from the leaders of the movement, hapilly swallowed and regurgitated by the local (and supposedly more sophisticated national) reporters. Anyone remember the so-called "Al-Quaeda Prayer Rug" that was reportedly found?
(East coast reporters love the Minutemen, because it contributes to their view that all of us out here are a bunch of Yosemite Sam-style slope-headed neanderthals.)
There is also the larger question of racism within the movement. I'll give Simcox the benefit of the doubt and say that he does not think of himself as a racist. Also, he may genuinely believe that his movement is not racist. This makes him very cynical, or a moron.
The reason why I say this, is that he either doesn't care that he is lining up with racists, or he is just too dumb to see them. He gives speeches to groups closely aligned with hate organizations, such as the California Coalition for Immigration Reform, whose leader refers to Mexicans as "savages." He claims not to want white supremacists in the movement, but apparently doesn't do very much to keep them from joining the group or from speaking to the press.
Given all of this, it is particularly disturbing that mainstream politicians such as Don Goldwater and Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger continue to proudly stand with these guys.
NB - Mr. Goldwater appears to still have no supporters.|W|P|113587758099005091|W|P|He's Not Racist, Just an Accused Child Molester and a Paranoid Egomaniac|W|P|prezelski@aol.com
Some gophers told me that Christine Toretti-Olson will not be running for congress in CD 8. Her husband, Lute Olson, apparently put the kibosh on it. If this is true, it makes sense given his past preferences. Olson is at heart, a Republican, but he is registered as an independent. He tries to stay out of politics, since the crowds at Wildcat games tend to be more Democratic than Republican. His one forray into politics was when he lent his name to a local education initiative, and that was more than a decade and a half ago. One wonders if Lute's apprehension about his wife involving herself in local politics will keep her from further campaigning for Sen. Jon Kyl.
The story goes that the White House wanted her in the race, so I suppose there are persuasive powers that can still be brought to bear. I mean, they can wire tap now, right? If she still decides to run, there is no end of material for smart alecky bloggers like me. And not just because of the fun I can poke at her for not actually living here (thus the above illustration).
She is one of the top Republican contributors in the country, and, suprise suprise, she is the CEO of a company involved in oil and natural gas drilling. She is the CEO of SW Jack Drilling, and was one of the top contributors to the presidential campaign of then Gov. George W. Bush. She gave an interview to the Los Angeles Times back in 2000 regarding her contributions:
We need to be opening up Alaska and the North Carolina coast. Obviously, it's not Gore's priority. If you haven¹t done it by now, the heck with you.Nice. Not exactly the sorts of attitude you want publicized when you are running for Congress in Tucson. So, where do the Country Club Republicans go now? The scramble to find a decent moderate that actually wants to run has been almost as futile (but not nearly as comical) as the Republicans' search for a candidate for governor that someone besides the candidate's mother might vote for.
Two names have been floated. One is Bruce Ash, who is prominently involved in real estate, chairman of the Jewish Federation and Jewish Community center, as well as a member of countless local boards. He definitely has a rolodex that would enable him to put together a serious campaign. Ash headed up Independent People Like You, a so-called "independent campaign" that blasted Tom Volgy and José Ibarra in the 2003 City Council race.
I know, you all are saying: you mean Independent People Like You were actually Republicans? Shocking, absolutely shocking. Next, I'll tell you about the Tooth Fairy.
After that election, there was some grousing that the "independent campaign" was too negative, and may have driven down Mayor Bob Walkup's numbers, who won the election but did not get a majority.
I haven't heard Ash's name as much lately. Let's face it though, how many Republican insiders are going to tell me anything these days?
The other name that has gained more currency lately is Dave Sitton. Sitton is, of all things, the Coach of the U of A's Rugby team. But believe it or not, that isn't what he is most famous for. He is also the broadcaster for the Wildcat basketball games (if you happen to catch any USA Rugby events on Fox Sports Net, he's usually the commentator on those too) as well as the publicity flack for Clear Channel Outdoor. Working for the billboard company puts you only a few steps above the oil and natural gas folks with the environmental community here.
It is in his capacity for Clear Channel that I have dealt with him. When Clear Channel purchased Eller Media, Sitton came to one of the meetings of the Sign Code Committee and addressed us in a very friendly way. This was a far cry from Eller's representative, Don Dybus, who showed up to two meetings, didn't introduce himself (even to me, and we'd worked together before) and then wrote op-ed pieces talking about what closeminded nitwits we were.
Can either of them beat Rep. Randy Graf? Graf has been running since 2004, so these guys better get started.
NB - Sitton takes checks from Fox and Clear Channel? We lefties should have a field day with that.|W|P|113562533346985396|W|P|And to You Too, Lady|W|P|prezelski@aol.com
Lorraine Frank, appointed to the State Board of Regents last year by her protege Janet Napolitano, died yesterday at the age of 82.
Frank had been an important figure in the civic and political life of this state, working to get arts programs into many rural schools as well as serving as Democratic National Committeewoman for twenty years.
One of Frank's first political endeavor's was working as a young activist at the 1944 Democratic Comvention. She was part of the forces working to keep the very progressive Vice-President Henry A. Wallace on the ticket.
She was married to John P. Frank, who died a few years ago. John Frank should be remembered by any fans of Law and Order everytime they read a suspect their rights.
I ended up on the opposite side of Lorraine Frank in a lot of fights within the State Party, but I don't think she harbored any ill will for me. I think this says a great deal about her character.|W|P|113535705138602782|W|P|Lorraine Frank|W|P|prezelski@aol.com
Just for grins, scroll down and check out the "Supporters" entry on the front page of Don Goldwater's campaign site.
Here I thought that setting up Christmas decorations and deciding on napkin colors for the Department of Administration would result in a much stronger political base. Shows how I was wrong.|W|P|113527809944230679|W|P|Not Much of a Base, Izzit?|W|P|prezelski@aol.com
Emil Franzi has an article in the Northwest Explorer which crowns Jeff Latas as the probable Democratic nominee in Congressional District 8. He complains about the "shallow commentary" that the local media has given the Democratic field. Yeah, I agree on that one. Trouble is, he then rates Latas's abilities as a candidate entirely on his laudable record as a Air Force veteran.
Franzi is an ex-US Marine (well, retired marine, no such thing as an ex-marine, really) and he believes that more people with military experience should be in public office, but he should understand better than anyone that experience in other fields, no matter how noble, do not necessarilly translate into political ability or even political support. Franzi has been, and I think still is, a political consultant for many Republican candidates in town and has probably worked for more than one buisinessman or veteran that thinks he knows how to campaign based on that experience. Sometimes, these candidates turn out to be disasters because they don't understand that politics operates differently.
If he still believes that military records translate into automatic political success, two words for Franzi: Bill Heuisler.
One of the first campaigns I worked on was for a fella named Truman Spangrud, a retired three star general who flew several missions over Vietnam and was comptroller of the Air Force. His experience would have made him an excellent Senator, maybe it might even have earned him mention as a Presidential candidate. We lost the primary after a lethargic campaign. Oops.
Franzi's article also butchers the name of Alex Rodriguez. He calls him Alex Martinez. Funny, Franzi got Rodriguez's name right a few years ago when he was lauding his military record during his attempt to get appointed to the Pima County Board of Supervisors. How soon we forget.
Frankly, I hope that neither Latas nor any other candidate on our side takes their cues from Franzi. I'll have a good chuckle when I hear a Latas supporter try to point this out as somehow an indication that Latas is the man. Franzi's opinion is a poor indicator of the feelings of Democratic primary voters.|W|P|113520172604745721|W|P|And in Other News, ASU Fans Have Some Great Ideas About Lute's Starting Lineup|W|P|prezelski@aol.com
Some of my myriad fans tell me they are waiting with baited breath for my opinions and or predictions on the "race" to replace Sen. Gabrielle Giffords.
Truth to tell: I have no idea what the heck is going on.
I know this much, if the supes thought there were three solid votes for any of these candidates, there would have already been a meeting and a successor named.
What I am hearing is mostly contradictory. One story says that Rep. Dave Bradley already has the votes of all five supervisors sewn up, but another story says that one supervisor isn't going to vote for him because of a previous political beef (I'm not including the name because I doubt the story). I hear that the women that pushed for Leslie Nixon are now pushing for Paula Aboud, then five minutes later, I hear that they aren't pushing for Aboud.
Rep. Ted Downing will not get appointed because he has already said he'll run if he doesn't get appointed, but the supes may appoint him since he will run anyway if he doesn't.
Yeah, none of this makes any sense to me either. I have no idea where the truth actually is on this. Quit asking me. Call the supervisors and pester them. They like that.
UPDATE: Jim Nintzel has his own take on the appointment race, including bonus nightmare scenarios!|W|P|113518513113910269|W|P|Blatant Localism|W|P|prezelski@aol.com
Rep. Rick Murphy (R-Glendale) is circulating a proposed House Concurrent Resolution to abolish the Clean Elections program. He believes that this would survive the constitutional challenges that scuttled the anti-Clean Elections initiative that was attempted in 2004.
Hmm...let's just savor the memory of that one. Jim Click and the other big money types spent thousands hiring lawyers who apparently did not know how to write an initiative. It's funny every time I think about it.
In addition to really loving the flag, Murphy is a hypocrite. Murphy gladly signed up to participate in the program in the 2004 election (probably while supporting the anti-Clean Elections initiative), and hapilly took $28,415.45 in taxpayer money for that election. Oh, sorry. If a Republican takes it, it is "public matching funds." If a Democrat takes it, it's taxpayer money stolen from hard working people, and probably being given to illegal aliens and lesbians.
I haven't seen the language of the HCR that Murphy proposes. I'm assuming that it calls for a referendum on the Clean Elections system. An HCR cannot be vetoed by the governor.
I volunteered for a time for the group that was fighting the anti-Clean Elections initiative last time, and I saw some of their polling numbers. I think that the Republicans that are pushing against Clean Elections would be shocked to see how much support there actually is in the state for the system. If they want to go out there and tell people that more lobbyist money should be spent on campaigns, then let them campaign on that message.
NB - Murphy's campaign site features the legend: "WARNING! THE IDEAS CONTAINED IN THIS WEBSITE WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO THE STATUS-QUO!" It amazes me how these bozos can spew the same silliness that has ruled this state for the last 20 years and play marionette for every big money interest yet they still consider themselves "rebels." Bizarre.|W|P|113503557374581697|W|P|Do As I Say, Not As I Do|W|P|prezelski@aol.com
The nattering in the transom is that Christine Toretti-Olson will run in Congressional District 8 after prodding from national Repubican leaders.
The only trouble with this is that she doesn't even live in Arizona. Near as I can tell, she hasn't even been here more than half a dozen times. In fact, the Republican National Committee still lists her as a Republican National Committee Woman from Pennsylvania. The Pennsylvania Republican Party features a page with Toretti-Olson encouraging women to get involved and run for office. Maybe she means that she wants them to run for office in other states, who knows?
At least Rep. Rick Renzi and Sen. John McCain bothered to set up shop here for a few months before they ran for office.
I have said before that I would be totally insulted by this if I were a local Republican. "Sorry, you guys just can't cut it..." The White House is worried about the strength of Randy Graf, but can't they throw their weight behind a local candidate?
If the idea is that they want to beat Graf, then they fail to understand Graf's appeal. He tells people that national Republican leaders are out of touch with the border issue and don't understand the needs of local folks. Since that is his message, who could be a worse candidate to put up against him than someone that has never lived here?
Voters ought to wonder if Toretti-Olson were to be elected, if she would she be more loyal to the Republican leadership (or heck, Pennyslvania!) or the needs of her actual constituents. Heck, it's unlikely that she would know very many actual constituents.
I have some doubts about whether Toretti-Olson is really as much of a "star" as the national Republicans think she is. Bobbi Olson, Lute Olson's now deceased first wife, was a well loved figure in Tucson. He married Christine Toretti shortly after Bobbi's tragic death. Few people in the community knew anything about her, and in the intervening time she hasn't been nearly the local fixture Bobbi was. This is because, well, she hasn't actually been living here. There are also Wildcat fans who loved Bobbi that resent the fact that Lute married so quickly after Bobbi's death. All of this adds to Toretti-Olson not really having a great deal of celebrity appeal.
Frankly, if the voters of Baja Arizona don't see this whole thing as insulting and vote for her anyway, I may just ditch this whole "faith in the democratic process" thing, move to Three Points and take up beekeeping.
On a related note: I have recieved some missives (well, maybe comuniqués) from various people who were eager to tell me that Alex Rodriguez and Patty Weiss don't live in CD 8. If they were nominated against Toretti-Olson, I suppose that they could at least say that they are lifelong southern Arizona residents and know the area. One of the things that people would find suprising about running for congress is that the only requirement is that you reside in the state. There are no other residency requirements. Mo Udall, for example, did not live in the old Congressional District 2 that he represented (of course, he was Mo Udall, and he was drawn out of the district after representing it for nearly two decades). Nothing would prevent me, at least legally, from running against, say, Rick Renzi or J. D. Hayworth. It would just be silly, that's all.
The trouble with Rodriguez or Weiss being the candidate may be that they would be less able to use the "carpetbagger" issue against Toretti-Olson. Although, I think that Weiss living only a half mile outside the district is a bit different than what Toretti-Olson is doing. Still, it may muddy the message. One may remember the 2002 race in CD 1, when it became ridiculous for George Cordova to call out Rick Renzi for not living in the district, when he himself had lived in Phoenix up until he wanted to run for congress.
And don't even get me started on Randy Camacho wanting to run too.|W|P|113500205490347702|W|P|Pack Your Carpetbags! (Part Two)|W|P|prezelski@aol.com
Maybe the conservatives are right, there is a liberal media conspiracy.
The WB network showed The Wizard of Oz opposite Pres. Bush's speech. The Scarecrow had that all too prescient line:
But some people without brains do an awful lot of talking, don't they?L. Frank Baum, the author of the Wizard of Oz, was a hardcore Democrat. In the original story, Dorothy had silver slippers and the Wizard had a strange resemblance to William Jennings Bryan. She could only get home after all of the Democratic constituencies, represented by the Tin Woodsman, the Scarecrow and the Lion, realized how much power they had inside themselves. It's all a big liberal media conspiracy, really.|W|P|113496460739239658|W|P|He Does Have a Point There Though|W|P|prezelski@aol.com
It was quite nice in some ways. Both Gov. Howard Dean and Gen. Wesley Clark considered Arizona a "must win" made several appearances here, and had serious grassroots campaigns. On the other hand, Sen. John Kerry's campaign largely abandoned the state to concentrate on Iowa, and only made one appearance here in the week before the primary.
And what happened? Kerry won, merely ratifying the Iowa and New Hampshire results.
There is so much emphasis on Iowa and New Hampshire that it has become impossible for other states to have any infulence whatsoever. The press amplifies the results from these two states (while at the same time complaining about their influence) and party leadership starts pressuring losing candidates to drop out the moment the polls close in Nashua and Manchester. I don't think that their presence so early on the calendar makes for more conservative or liberal candidates, but it does make for a process that is certainly less democratic and inclusive.
The fact that it is these two states is problematic. The Iowa Caucuses, for example, are often noted for their byzantine nature. The reason for this is simple, they are designed to elect convention delegates, not necessarilly to create a definite winner. Unlike a standard primary (or even the way many other caucuses are run) there is no reported "hard count" of early candidate support on election night. The percentages you hear are from exit polling, those of us that were checking the results on the afternoon on election day 2004 know how well that works. For example, journalists that went back to look over the 1988 Iowa contest found that the winner may not have been Rep. Richard Gephardt after all, but Sen. Paul Simon. This probably did not change human history, but it shows how problematic using Iowa as anything approaching a definitive way to gauge support is.
(Before any Deaniac writes to me and says "See, we probably won after all..." you guys lost Iowa fair and square due to a problematic campaign there.)
Proponents of keeping the Iowa and New Hampshire contests first in line say that somehow Iowa and New Hampshire voters are better informed voters than folks in other states. First of all, this is highly insulting to the voters in the other 48 states. "You pedestrians just let us pick the candidate, it's for your own good, really." If presidential candidates parked themselves in another smaller state like Delaware, North Dakota or New Mexico for a year before a primary, I bet those state's voters would be "well informed" as well.
The attention paid to these state's contests is just ridiculous. Sen. Joe Lieberman, for example, went so far as to rent an apartment in New Hampshire and move his family there temporarily. Every town that has a fish fry one weekend will be innundated with presidential candidates. Not only that, it skews our politics as the contests often turn on local issues. Someone looking to run for president better not vote against ethanol subsidies or for closing the Portsmouth Naval Station. I spoke to a guy that worked at the White House once, he said that it was really funny: if a state official called needing something it would get directed to a lower level staffer, but a request from a New Hampshire official would be handled at higher levels, and often quicker.
For me, the most ludicrous moment of Pres. George Bush's 1992 campaign (a campaign that was full of ludicrous moments) was watching him campaign in the New Hampshire primary. He was telling people that he knew all about their little league teams and high schools and that these other guys didn't. His argument boiled down to, "I should be president because I know New Hampshire." He was campaigning like a local candidate for congress, rather than a guy that was running for leader of the most powerful nation on the planet.
Before anyone points out to me that Presidents George W. Bush and Bill Clinton lost New Hampshire let me make two points. Republican primaries work very differently, in fact most don't even select delegates. In Clinton's case, his folks were able to spin his second place finish into a victory.
The folks at the Democratic National Committee will not be able to really reform the primary process unless they are willing to attack the privileged satus of these two states.|W|P|113482922020698861|W|P|Primary Education|W|P|prezelski@aol.comOf the aforementioned adults, who do you think is more likely to vote--the conservatives and fellow Republicans, or the Hispanics and political moderates?So, I am hoping that Patterson isn't saying that the Republicans are counting on low turnout among Hispanics and moderates. Yes, moderates tend not to show up in great numbers in primaries, but they do vote in general elections. If he is saying that there are enough hard core conservatives to elect a state wide candidate without significant amounts of moderate voters, fine, let the Republicans think that. They can ask Governor Matt Salmon how well that has worked in recent elections. Here is the Republican spin that I just love: Kyl is supposedly hugely popular and invincible at 46% , but Governor Janet Napolitano is unpopular (naturally due to her Bolshevik policies) and will be taken apart by any Republcan at 65%. Someone will have to explain this one to me. By the way, even the outlier Zogby poll that Espresso Pundit loves say "proves" that the Governor is beatable still shows Napolitano with slightly higher numbers than Kyl has.|W|P|113479845814445761|W|P|Golly, I Hope That Those People Don't Vote|W|P|prezelski@aol.com
Somebody named Annie Mous or something posted a couple of days ago that I missed the Alex Rodriguez story. Yeah, I did. Keep in mind, I'm not paid for this, guys.
I spoke to Rodriguez last weekend, and it never came up. Part of the reason may have been that I was standing next to Spencer Giffords when Rodriguez started talking to me.
At first, I thought that his running for Congress was a boneheaded maneuver. Rodriguez's first stab at public office was an attempt to get appointed for Raúl Grijalva's west side County Supervisor's seat when he stepped down to run for Congress. Rodriguez ended up getting used by various people, many of whom had no actual interest in helping him, as a way of showing Grijalva up. He himself admits that this incident probably damaged him with people who would otherwise be more than happy to help him. He has been gaining more respect as of late, with his service on the TUSD board, even working with Adelita Grijalva on desegregation issues. I thought that a congressional race before he has "paid his dues" has a chance of getting rid of any goodwill that he has built up over the last couple of years.
I've talked to a couple of people though, and they have changed my mind a wee bit. Not that I am supporting Rodriguez's run, but I don't think it is as much boneheaded hubris as I thought it was before. Since the TUSD board is unpaid, he can remain a board member while running for congress. Technically, he can actually even be on the board if he gets elected to congress, but he would probably lose his seat after missing a few meetings. So, as far as his current office goes, he loses nothing. Plus, he's basically spending his contributors' money. He's got very few downsides here. If he runs a decent race, even in losing he will make himself into a serious political player.
I think he provides some decent competition for Sen. Gabrielle Giffords, who may benefit from stronger primary challengers than those that she got before Rodriguez got into the race. She beats inexperienced competition like Francine Schachter, no one will pay attention, but beating an energetic and experienced challenger like Rodriguez will give her a decent primary bounce.
It's like the AYSO, everybody wins!
Something funny might happen when the first poll comes out. In the 2002 congressional race, former Sen. Luis Gonzales bandied a poll about that showed him within striking distance of Grijalva. Turns out that the poll was on name ID, and the pollsters admitted that the respondents may have thought that Luis Gonzales was, well, Luis Gonzalez. Compounding the trouble is that there is a Yaqui Tribal Council member named Luis Gonzales that sort of looks like Luis Gonzales. Not the ball player, but...well...never mind. Look for Rodriguez to have high name ID until they find out that they don't mean A-Rod, or Andy Roddick for that matter.|W|P|113466887557946109|W|P|No, Not that Alex Rodriguez|W|P|prezelski@aol.com
A friend of mine in DC just called me up to ask me if Patty Weiss announced for congress this morning. I have no idea yet. It's nice that people think I'd know, though.
I checked the Arizona Daily Star to see if they did an update that would tell me. Then I remembered that they don't actually have a political reporter anymore.|W|P|113466226442980464|W|P|Could Mean Nothing|W|P|prezelski@aol.comFunny. Nothing in there blaming some conspiracy of Planned Parenthood or the Governor. Nothing claiming that the bipartisan commission is biased. Nothing in there claiming that no one has the authority to tell him how to use public funds Wow, he's taking full responsibility for his mistakes. In other words, nothing like David Burnell Smith.|W|P|113449887031011869|W|P|Ableser Settlement|W|P|prezelski@aol.com8. Respondent agrees to pay to the Commission, within 30 days of the date of this Settlement Agreement, a civil penalty in the amount of $1,566.03, which is the sum of the reimbursements for expenditures that were not reported on the same day the expenditures were made. 9. Respondent acknowledges that the Commission has the authority to fine Respondent ten times the amount by which expenditures exceeded the applicable limits pursuant to A.R.S. §16-942(B), which is $15,660.30. 10. The Commission declines to impose the maximum penalty based on the following reasons: • Respondent cooperated fully with the audit, investigation and resolution of this matter; • Absence of prior enforcement action before the Commission • Respondent made a good faith effort to comply with the Act and attended a Commission-sponsored training class on November 12, 2003; and • Respondent did not seek or gain an advantage from the violations outlined above because at all relevant times his campaign had adequate funds to make the payments directly from his campaign account.
For example, yesterday, he went after Rep. Ted Downing for being a university professor. Patterson's trouble is that he has been opposing a bill giving community colleges the ability to give four year degrees. The bill itself is deeply flawed, and even opposed by some community colleges. I was actually going to write a bit about this bill way back in October; the motives and conflicts involved are bizarre. Then Kathleen Dunbar started suing people, and let's face it, that was more of a fun story.
In this case, a Republican staffer named Kim Sheane was working on the committee handling the bill, while at the same time being on the payroll for the Arizona Community College Association. The leadership was embarassed by this, since she wrote the bill and helped guide it through committee. There is a huge problem with the power of unelected staff and the power they have over legislation. I worked as a citizen's lobbyist at one point, and I was shocked to find how many bills were written by staff or lobbyists and then introduced by legislators who did not bother reading the bills.
So, to counter this, Patterson brings up Rep. Ted Downing. Downing works for the University of Arizona. Now, Patterson brings up a state law that may actually prohibit Downing from serving because of his position. If this is true, which would be odd given how many university employees have served, then he should step aside. But Patterson seems to suggest that his conflict of interest is somehow worse. There is a huge difference. The people of District 28 knew where he worked, and voted for him. Sheane served at the pleasure of the Republican leadership, her conflict of interest could never be evaluated by the voters.
Patterson also does something that conservatives have been guilty of lately: whining that they are oppressed. He ends his post with:
Ted Downing is untouchable. Kim Sheane is expendable.Oh, puh-leeze. Sheane, as an unelected staffer and lobbyist, has probably gotten her way on more bills than Downing. Downing, like many members of the Democratic caucus (or moderate Republican members, for that matter), has a tough time getting his bills scheduled by a committee. There was even an attempt to prevent him and other members from asking questions on the floor. But, we are supposed to pity the poor Republicans. Next, we'll find out that a Democrat said "Season's Greetings." By the way, Sheane, near as I can tell, did not lose her job.
I have been writing an awful lot about Rep. David Burnell Smith, who is STILL THERE. Many Republicans in response to this have been bringing up Democratic candidates, mostly losing Democratic candidates and claiming that they have been going unpunished. Patterson has been harping on the case of Edward Ableser, who was a candidate in Tempe. I met Ableser at a Young Democrats meeting and he is a decent guy, but he obviously messed up here. I think he was a quality candidate, this whole incident will make it more difficult for him to run again. Like Smith, he also overspent, and he will be fined. This is where the differences with Smith start. Ableser has not challenged the commission's power, as far as I know. He may see if he can get the fine reduced, but he hasn't said that the commission, who he signed a contract with and was created by a public vote, is illegal and that he is somehow beyond campaign finance laws. He isn't dragging his case through the courts to render any punishment moot.
I have read various letters to the editor and comments from Republicans who say that people like Ableser are not being punished as severely as Smith. Well, you are right. Ableser is not being asked to vacate his office, because, well, he lost. There is also this implication that somehow Ableser through his actions denied Rep. Mark Thompson his office, as if Thompson was somehow entitled. Thompson came in fourth. An incumbent comes in fourth, there are other problems with his candidacy.
I have to give Patterson props for breaking the story though, he did a wee bit of investigation, and it popped up. Golly, think about it. Maybe our papers should hire people who are specially trained to do this sort of research, you know, they study it in college, and then they can write about it. Hmm...what a concept.
NB - Looking back through Espresso Pundit's posts, I found an item there about the dangers of predicting a race this far ahead:
Remember that the last time Arizona had open congressional seats NO ONE picked Grijalva, Franks and Renzi. The conventional wisdom was Richardson, Atkins and flip a coin for the Mormon up north.Um...no one picked Grijalva? Observers who took the time to examine the race thought that the best Richardson could do was have a really close race with Grijalva. Two candidates ditched the race entirely because of the strength of Grijalva (both tried to run in CD1). National organizations, such as the Sierra Club, lined up behind Grijalva as a sure winner. I worked for the State Party at the time, and they were betting on Grijalva too (quietly, of course) because of his organizational aptitude. The only people who thought that the race belonged to Richardson were the Phoenix media who seem to think that the only serious candidates are those that work in Phoenix. Patterson, however, did quote me though when I "skewered" the Buisiness Journal of Phoenix for this same attitude in this year's CD 7 race.|W|P|113448143286449573|W|P|Parity: Not Just for NFL Teams Anymore|W|P|prezelski@aol.com
In 1994, Rep. Jon Kyl, who was then a Senate candidate, declared that he would introduce a bill to make election day the same as tax filing day. He claimed it would be so people would think about their taxes when they vote. He got a good press release out of it, but the bill has still remained unintroduced*. I know, he's working on it, these things take time.
Our latest example is Rep. J. D. Hayworth's Hayworth Enforcement First Act (I always make sure to enforce my Hayworths first, especially Rita). Buried in this bill is a provision to punish activities such as voting in a foreign election or serving in a foreign army with a $10,000 fine.
I say buried, but Hayworth seems to be mighty proud of this provision. He's put out a press release on this topic. The only trouble is, how in the world is this supposed to stop the tide of illegal immigration? If someone is a dual citizen, that means that they are, well, a citizen. That means that they are legally here, J. D.
Like many half baked pieces of "I'm doing something" legislation, this one has all sorts of unintended consequences. The population that I'm assuming it is supposed to go after is Mexican-Americans. I have been unable to find any statistics on the number of dual citizens, only a single right wing editorial that said that there are "millions" of Mexican-American dual citizens. I find this unlikely, since Mexican dual citizenship has only been possible since 1998. There may be immigrants who have arrived since then who have not renounced their citizenship, but this can be a complicated process. Countries have been reluctant to easilly give up their citizens to another country.
So, which dual-citizens are going to be gone after? As I said before, statistics on this are hard to come by, so I have to go anecdotal on you. Among the people I've met, the most common "dual citizenships" have been Irish and Israeli. Ireland has some very liberal rules on dual citizenship, and many Irish-Americans go for dual citizenship out of pride and to make travel a bit easier. Israeli dual citizenship is a smiliar matter. Because of the "right of return" in the Israeli constitution, just about anyone of Jewish extraction is a possible "dual citizen." This became a problem a few years ago in the "Crazy Eddie" case, where a man wanted for tax evasion was able to claim asylum as an Israeli citizen. There are important historical reasons for both of these countries' policies. Of course, many of the people I know that are Irish or Israeli dual citizens do not vote in those countries' elections, but is Hayworth willing to go after those who do? Naw, that's not what he meant. Those people are whiter.
In the last round of Iraqi elections, there were significant numbers of Iraqi-Americans that voted. NPR's Weekend Edition featured an interview with one Assyrian-American that was born here, and that had never set foot anywhere near Mesopatamia. She gladly voted in the Iraqi election, most likely encouraged and aided by our own State Department. So, Hayworth would be willing to punish people like her?
Our history is full of American adventurers fighting for foreign armies. World War II featured many such as the Flying Tigers, who flew for the Republic of China before we declared war on Japan, volunteers for the Commonwealth forces against Germany, even the Abraham Lincoln Brigade. These guys are now considered to be heroes that fought imperialism and fascism before the rest of the American public, including such "great Americans" such as Henry Ford and Charles Lindberg, thought these things were problems. Hayworth would have slapped fines on them.
This provision would probably be difficult to enforce, and probably not enforced at all. It is exactly this sort of "all for show" legislation that leaves people cynical about the whole political process.
NB - Apparently, some on the right do want to go after Iraqi-Americans that vote in Iraq. Check out this article from the conservative FrontPage Magazine.
There are some problems with Hayworth's website (I know, tragedy). The above links to his website may not work.
CORRECTION - Who knew that Senator Kyl's DC staff reads my humble blog? Scot Montrey, who works for the Senator, informed me that the bill has been introduced not once, but four times. Once, when he was a house member, and three times as a senator. The bill never has made it out of committee. R Cubed regrets the error.|W|P|113439425799785822|W|P|Why Do Anything When You Can Get a Good Press Release|W|P|prezelski@aol.com
Corporation Commissioner Kris Mayes is concerned because three of the state's largest utilities are in danger of being unable to meet their pension obligations to the tune of $585,000,000. By far the largest share of the shortfall is Arizona Public Service's $472,000,000.
This has been a big problem nationwide. Many corporations see their pension obligations not as a responsibility to the people that made them rich, but rather as another bothersome creditor. The other related trend seems to be to use bankruptcy as another competitive tool. Ironic, given the business community's support for gutting bankruptcy laws that protect normal citizens.
What many large employers have done is declared bankruptcy, then they depend on the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation to take over their pension plans. To be fair, the PBGC is funded by many of those same employers. Although it is government administered, no taxpayer money goes into the fund. That could change soon, with so many companies jettisoning their pension plans. There may not be enough money in the fund to pay all of the pension obligations that these companies decided they aren't responsible for. Guess who would then be turned to to take up the slack? Yep, the taxpayers.
One has to wonder how any Arizona utility can end up in this sort of situation. The Arizona Corporation Commission is known as the most powerful elected regulatory body in the country, much to the consternation of many in the business community who seem to have their way in most other levels of government in this state. There is very little that a utility can do without going to the Corporation Commission for permission. With as much hang wringing we see from Kris Mayes now, one has to wonder why she wasn't watching for the last few years.
Of course, this could be yet another example of a utility crying poor to get a rate hike. This news out of APS is accompanied by a request to hike their tariff by 20%. The pattern in the 1980's was that the utilities would claim that they couldn't pay their employees without some huge hike in the rates. For some reason, these rate hikes never quite translated into money for their employees. This ended when commissioners like Renz Jennings and Marcia Weeks held sway over the commission. It is very possible that this is just a ruse to increase their profit margins.
I have to give Mayes some credit here though. It sounds as though she isn't totally buying APS's story. I'm eager to see what her work uncovers.
All of us should remember what a Corporation Commissioner does next election, and make sure that someone consumer minded gets elected. This is one place where government action directly effects the pocketbook of regular folks in an immediate way.|W|P|113430882043416832|W|P|That's What We Have a Corporation Commission for|W|P|prezelski@aol.com
The gnomes that live in my walls are telling me that Supervisor Ray Carroll has decided not to run for congress, and will announce this in the next few days.
Carroll was probably the strongest possible Republican candidate if he got nominated. Pima County Supervisors are political rock stars (okay, maybe not rock stars, but very successful alt-country songsters?), they are on TV at least once a week and are in the papers constantly. His name ID and would make him hard to beat.
Of course, the things that make him popular across the political spectrum would probably have made him radioactive in a Republican primary. He was friendly with people in the environmentalist community; he even has been known to hang out with Green Party leader Carolyn Campbell. Who had him appointed to the board of supervisors? A man who was then on the Board of Supervisors named Raúl Grijalva, public enemy number one among a sizeable chunk of Republican primary voters. All of this would have been used by a smart Republican running against him. Maybe even Rep. Randy Graf.
Of course, Ray and Raúl get along like the Bickersons. But when has anyone let a fact get in the way of a juicy attack piece?
This may mean that Rep. Steve Huffman could have the moderate side of the primary all to himself, since the other moderates that have been mentioned (Sen. Toni Hellon, Rep. Jonathan Paton, Mayor Bob Walkup) don't seem to have expressed an interest in actually running. Does Huffman win one-on-one versus Graf?|W|P|113401426539939884|W|P|Sugar Ray Out?|W|P|prezelski@aol.com
Maricopa Superior Court Judge Mark F. Aceto has upheld a ruling by the state's Clean Election Commission that Rep. David Burnell Smith violated campaign finance rules and that the commission had the power to remove him from office.
The ruling stated:
The court finds that Representative Smith has usurped, intruded into and unlawfully holds or exercises the office of District 7 state representative.Sounds pretty unequivocal to me. Before we hear about some judicial anti-conservative bias, Aceto was appointed to the Superior Court in 1995, during the administration of J. Fife Symington III, and served as an assistant Attorney General to Bob Corbin. Another point that people should keep in mind that I harp on constantly is that Smith voluntarily signed on to the Clean Elections system. Not only that, he is a lawyer admitted to the bar in three states and even brags on his legislative site that he has been a law instructor as well. It is safe to assume the man knew how to read the Clean Elections contract and knew the rules and the consequences of violating them. I don't know why Smith is so concerned about being forced to vacate his seat, since he hasn't shown much interest in being there. He has the worst attendance record in the house. Given that the session was mostly over by the time his legal struggles were in full flower, it would be difficult for him to argue it is because of his having to go to court.|W|P|113399698575662810|W|P|Yet Another Ruling Against Smith|W|P|prezelski@aol.com
Reports are that "top national Republicans," including some at the White House, are urging Surgeon General Richard Carmona to run for congress.
Why do I keep thinking of the last few lines of Raiders of the Lost Ark?
I don't think Carmona is going to do it. He's got the best gig in DC. He also is one of the few people associated with homeland security that came out looking good after Hurricane Katrina. Why on earth would he want to give that up to risk losing a primary to some wingnut like Randy Graf?
Carmona may be looking at Jerry Kilgore and wonder if White House support really means what it used to.
Besides, as far as anyone knows, he isn't even a Republican. He is registered as an independent, and taken stands on things such as stem-cell research that run counter to the feelings of many Republican base voters that are going to vote in this primary. As recently as 2002, he toyed with running for the then-open CD 7 seat as a Democrat.
It does indicate that the White House is worried about this seat. Not just for the most obvious reason that it is a possible Democratic pick up. There are currently several moderates, Rep. Steve Huffman and Supervisor Ray Carroll among them, that will split the vote against conservative Graf. Without a high profile moderate, like Carmona, there really is no one who could clear the moderate field to have a one on one shot against Graf.
The anti-immigrant right has been ascendant as of late, with Jim Gilchrist capturing 25% of the vote in yesterday's special election in California. This worries the some national Republicans, since it not only ruins their plans for a better showing among hispanics, but also because the anti-immgirant crowd's positions run counter to many of their buisness and foreign policy goals.
Something interesting I noticed about the special election yesterday was that Rep. Tomás Tancredo felt free to endorse a candidate against the Republican nominee. The national party must be really happy with that one.
Another thing: this above linked article from the Business Journal of Phoenix is the second article I've read from them on the CD 8 race. In both articles, they talked to Phoenix based political consultants who have never worked a campaign in the district (although Stan Barnes lobbies for SAHBA). Do their phones have a block against the 520 area code? This time, they talked to Republican operative Jason Rose about what the Democrats are going to do. Other than the fact that his wife was a delegate at the 1992 Democratic Convention (she doesn't mention that one anymore!), what special insight would he have?|W|P|113397525274106655|W|P|Could We Be Due for a Rhythm Heritage Reunion?|W|P|prezelski@aol.com
Former KVOA anchorwoman Patty Weiss is thinking about running for congress. Weiss is a well liked figure among long time Tucsonans, and she earned a great deal of sympathy from the community when she was unceremoniously dumped from the newscast. Under most circumstances, she'd be an intriguing candidate.
However, in this year she's got a lot of things working against her. There is already a high profile woman in the race, and EMILY's List has probably already picked Sen. Gabrielle Giffords as their candidate. EMILY's list doesn't take kindly to women who declare against women that they have already chosen. Ask Lisa Otondo about that one.
Weiss also has decent connections to both the local business community, as well as the arts community. Guess who else does?
I doubt she will do it in the end. It does go to show what an open seat will bring out though.
There is one Republican's name I haven't heard. A few years ago, a conspiracy loving friend of mine insisted that Jim Kolbe was waiting to step down until, get this, Steve Kerr retired from basketball. The theory went that although Kerr's father was a liberal internationalist, his assasination turned Steve into some sort of Arab hating right wing freak. I don't know that any of this even approaches the truth, but it was the crazy story that this guy, who is otherwise level headed, put forward. I haven't heard Kerr's name mentioned lately, but he has hung out in the past with Kolbe. Who knows?|W|P|113384849233252130|W|P|Another Name?|W|P|prezelski@aol.com
Former Tucson Mayor Lew Murphy died of a heart attack yesterday.
Murphy, a Republican, was the longest serving Mayor in Tucson's history. He was first elected by defeating Democrat Jim Corbett (he liked the ladies) in 1971 and managed to serve until 1987. He was one of the few on the council that survived the mass recall that occurred in 1977, but was nearly always in the minority in a council dominated by Democrats, often very liberal ones at that.
Murphy presided over the tail end of the unfortunate "urban renewal" that ripped the heart out of the city. He also believed that Tucson would not control its own destiny unless we annexed from "mountain to mountain." No one listened to that one and we are still dealing with the consequences.
Murphy continued his public service after leaving the Mayor's office. He served as the head of the local chapter of the League of Women Voters.|W|P|113357319899576085|W|P|Lew Murphy|W|P|prezelski@aol.com
Len Munsil is throwing his hat into the ring to get the chance to get flattened by Governor Napolitano. Munsil is the head of the Center for Arizona Policy, an organization for people that are angry that someone, somewhere, is sleeping with the wrong person.
I checked out their home page. It, of course, features two prominent pictures of Mr. Munsil. It also features a sort of "open letter" of Mr. Munsil announcing his imminent departure from the organization.
I never planned to leave; this has been the most difficult decision of my life. But God has a way of interrupting our plans and moving us out of our comfort zone when we least expect it. All I can say is that we serve an amazing and challenging God who leads us on marvelous adventures!Yes, God told him to resign. The Lord works in mysterious ways; funny how His plans always coincide with the political aspirations of right wingers. He also has a "prayer center." He has a call for fasting to battle the materialism of our culture, I have to give him props for that. But, he also has a call for "intercessory prayer," strange since I thought that was one of the things that we Catholics get criticized by Bible thumpers for. Munsil says:
CAP often stands alone publicly, taking on the multi-million dollar goliaths of the abortion, pornography and gambling industries, along with homosexual and liberal media groups. Public “persecution” and threats are common.Yeah, those conservative evangelicals are so put down upon, with control of the presidency, congress and so many other institutions. They are the new Blacks. There have been at least two stabbing incidents that I know of on Fourth Avenue in recent years directed at gays. I think this sort of "Public persecution" would rank a bit higher than whatever Munsil suffers from.
I checked out Jan Smith-Florez's page. Once again, a Republican is talking about restoring "traditional values" to Arizona. I'm confused about how a party can claim to advocate for small government but...ah never mind.
On her "issues" page she says:
Unlike Napolitano, Jan Smith Florez will not hide from the challenges that Arizona faces. She will not allow future generations to be burdened with today's problems. She will not routinely ignore the will of the people of Arizona. Jan Smith Florez is Right for Arizona."Right" there is not a synonym for "correct." When has Napolitano "ignored the will" of Arizonans? There are lots of things that the Governor has done that can be criticized by conservatives, but are they going to argue that her policies are unpopular? Please. Recent polling shows that the Governor is still very popular, which is why the Republicans have been having trouble recruiting a higher profile candidate. The Republicans, particularly those in the legislature, are living in some sort of bizarro world where their most neanderthal policies are supported by the vast majority of Arizonans, but a sensible moderate is a dangerous bolshevik. I guess they can keep convincing themselves of this, but they shouldn't be suprised when they lose, again, next year.|W|P|113353123953682047|W|P|Delusions of Piety and Delusions of Popularity|W|P|prezelski@aol.com
Senator Gabrielle Giffords resigned her state senate seat today, although she did not officially announce a run for the congressional seat being vacated by Jim Kolbe. That cat is still inside a rather tanslucent bag.
Interesting factoid that I touched on before: both of the previous two occupants of the southeast Arizona seat, Kolbe and Jim McNulty, were State Senators. Both were out of office before they ran and won.
Giffords probably feels that it would be impossible to serve her constituents and run a successful campaign in a district the size of Massachusetts. Looking back on who has actually been elected to congress from Arizona, she's probably right. Arizona has eight congressmen, and only one is a former member of the legislature, Trent Franks. Franks was out of the legislature for years before he ran and won.
Another little note: I have never claimed to be unbiased, but I hope I'm fair. I have known Gabby since we were eleven years old, and we even went to a Mexico-Yugoslavia game once. I will be supporting her in this primary.|W|P|113349846909948114|W|P|Shows What I Know|W|P|prezelski@aol.com